2026 · Thesis

Equity-Implied Signals in Corporate Bond Allocation

Tests whether VIX, option-implied skew and the variance risk premium add useful information to a tactical allocation between high-yield and investment-grade bonds.

  • Corporate credit
  • Forecasting
  • Out-of-sample testing
  • Python

2025 · Allocation

Regime-Aware Fixed-Income Allocation

Maps policy, macroeconomic and market-stress indicators to four regimes and transparent allocations across government bonds, credit, inflation protection and defensive assets.

  • Fixed income
  • Asset allocation
  • Market regimes
  • Python

2025 · Credit risk

Regime-Switching CPDO Risk Model

Simulates a leveraged credit product under normal and crisis regimes and examines why conventional pre-crisis assumptions could materially understate default risk.

  • Structured credit
  • Monte Carlo
  • Stress testing
  • Rating risk

2025 · Corporate finance

Environmental Performance and M&A Announcement Returns

Examines whether acquirer environmental performance helps explain short-term market reactions to US M&A announcements.

  • Corporate finance
  • M&A
  • Event study
  • ESG

2025 · Financial planning

Private Pension Plan Financial Case

Combines German statutory pension projections with a diversified ETF portfolio, dynamic glide path, tax analysis, Monte Carlo simulation and stress testing.

  • Retirement planning
  • Glide path
  • Monte Carlo
  • Stress testing

2025 · Machine learning

Financial Tweet Sentiment Classification

Compares TF-IDF classifiers with FinBERT for bearish and bullish financial tweets, including threshold selection when missed negative news is especially costly.

  • NLP
  • FinBERT
  • Classification
  • Model evaluation